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Category Archives: Rationality
The Four Children of the Seder as the Simulacra Levels
Previously: Unifying the Simulacra Definitions, Simulacra Levels and their Interactions, On Negative Feedback and Simulacra Simulacra levels are complex, counter-intuitive and difficult to understand. Thus, it is good and right to continue exploring them partly via story and metaphor. The metaphor here will … Continue reading
Posted in Rationality, Simulacra
18 Comments
Unifying the Simulacra Definitions
Epistemic Status: Confident this is the perspective I find most useful. This is intended to both be a stand-alone post and to be the second post in the Simulacra sequence, with the first being Simulacra Levels and their Interactions. It … Continue reading
Posted in Rationality, Simulacra
28 Comments
New York Times, Please Do Not Threaten The Safety of Scott Alexander By Revealing His True Name
In reaction to (Now the entirety of SlateStarCodex): NYT Is Threatening My Safety By Revealing My Real Name, So I Am Deleting The Blog I have sent the following to New York Times technology editor Pui-Wing Tam, whose email is … Continue reading
Posted in Politics, Rationality
11 Comments
Simulacra Levels and their Interactions
Previously: Covid-19: My Current Model, On Negative Feedback and Simulacra This post aims to unpack and explain simulacra levels of action using the threat of covid-19 as its central example. My intention is for future posts to then apply this … Continue reading
Posted in Rationality, Simulacra
42 Comments
Do It Now
Epistemic Status: Reference A while ago, I read the book Getting Things Done. Like most productivity books and systems, it includes detailed advice that approximately no one will follow. Unlike most productivity books and systems, it has two highly valuable … Continue reading
Posted in Good Advice, Rationality
3 Comments
On Negative Feedback and Simulacra
Response to (Elizabeth @ LessWrong): Negative Feedback and Simulacra Requires/Assumes (Compass Rose): Simulacra and Subjectivity Epistemic Status: Exploring, thinking out loud, taking a break from Covid-19 stuff, etc. Long post is long because I didn’t have the time or insight … Continue reading
Posted in Rationality, Simulacra
7 Comments
SlateStarCodex 2020 Predictions: Buy, Sell, Hold
Previously: Evaluating Predictions in Hindsight Epistemic Status: Having fun Evaluating predictions is hard, especially about the future. Let’s do it. The most frustrating part of predictions is defining them carefully. A lot of Scott’s 2020 predictions seem like they have a … Continue reading
Posted in Rationality
9 Comments
Evaluating Predictions in Hindsight
Epistemic Status: Confident I have useful things to say, but apologies for the long post because I don’t think it’s worth my time to make it shorter. Better to get thoughts down for those who want to read them. Scott … Continue reading
Posted in Death by Metrics, Guide, Rationality
22 Comments
The One Mistake Rule
Epistemic Status: The Bed of Procrustes Related to (Said Achmiz at Less Wrong): The Real Rules Have No Exceptions If a model gives a definitely wrong answer anywhere, it is useless everywhere. This principle is doubtless ancient, and has doubtless … Continue reading
Posted in Rationality
14 Comments
What is a School?
Previously: The Case Against Education You don’t know what you’ve got till it’s gone. In a belated triumph of sanity, schools around the world are closing their doors in the wake of the Coronavirus outbreak. The debates about schools closing make … Continue reading
Posted in Coronavirus, Rationality
6 Comments