Category Archives: Rationality

The Four Children of the Seder as the Simulacra Levels

Previously: Unifying the Simulacra Definitions, Simulacra Levels and their Interactions, On Negative Feedback and Simulacra Simulacra levels are complex, counter-intuitive and difficult to understand. Thus, it is good and right to continue exploring them partly via story and metaphor. The metaphor here will … Continue reading

Posted in Rationality, Simulacra | 18 Comments

Unifying the Simulacra Definitions

Epistemic Status: Confident this is the perspective I find most useful. This is intended to both be a stand-alone post and to be the second post in the Simulacra sequence, with the first being Simulacra Levels and their Interactions. It … Continue reading

Posted in Rationality, Simulacra | 28 Comments

New York Times, Please Do Not Threaten The Safety of Scott Alexander By Revealing His True Name

In reaction to (Now the entirety of SlateStarCodex): NYT Is Threatening My Safety By Revealing My Real Name, So I Am Deleting The Blog I have sent the following to New York Times technology editor Pui-Wing Tam, whose email is … Continue reading

Posted in Politics, Rationality | 11 Comments

Simulacra Levels and their Interactions

Previously: Covid-19: My Current Model, On Negative Feedback and Simulacra This post aims to unpack and explain simulacra levels of action using the threat of covid-19 as its central example. My intention is for future posts to then apply this … Continue reading

Posted in Rationality, Simulacra | 42 Comments

Do It Now

Epistemic Status: Reference A while ago, I read the book Getting Things Done. Like most productivity books and systems, it includes detailed advice that approximately no one will follow. Unlike most productivity books and systems, it has two highly valuable … Continue reading

Posted in Good Advice, Rationality | 3 Comments

On Negative Feedback and Simulacra

Response to (Elizabeth @ LessWrong): Negative Feedback and Simulacra Requires/Assumes (Compass Rose): Simulacra and Subjectivity Epistemic Status: Exploring, thinking out loud, taking a break from Covid-19 stuff, etc. Long post is long because I didn’t have the time or insight … Continue reading

Posted in Rationality, Simulacra | 7 Comments

SlateStarCodex 2020 Predictions: Buy, Sell, Hold

Previously: Evaluating Predictions in Hindsight Epistemic Status: Having fun Evaluating predictions is hard, especially about the future. Let’s do it. The most frustrating part of predictions is defining them carefully. A lot of Scott’s 2020 predictions seem like they have a … Continue reading

Posted in Rationality | 9 Comments

Evaluating Predictions in Hindsight

Epistemic Status: Confident I have useful things to say, but apologies for the long post because I don’t think it’s worth my time to make it shorter. Better to get thoughts down for those who want to read them. Scott … Continue reading

Posted in Death by Metrics, Guide, Rationality | 22 Comments

The One Mistake Rule

Epistemic Status: The Bed of Procrustes Related to (Said Achmiz at Less Wrong): The Real Rules Have No Exceptions If a model gives a definitely wrong answer anywhere, it is useless everywhere.  This principle is doubtless ancient, and has doubtless … Continue reading

Posted in Rationality | 14 Comments

What is a School?

Previously: The Case Against Education You don’t know what you’ve got till it’s gone. In a belated triumph of sanity, schools around the world are closing their doors in the wake of the Coronavirus outbreak. The debates about schools closing make … Continue reading

Posted in Coronavirus, Rationality | 6 Comments