Monthly Archives: November 2020

Covid 11/26: Thanksgiving

Happy Thanksgiving!  Even in a year like this one, we have much to be thankful for. Most of us, even if we get sick, will fully recover. Treatments continue to improve. Given expectations, this week’s numbers were surprisingly good, to … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 38 Comments

Covid 11/19: Don’t Do Stupid Things

There is very good news. We have a second vaccine! Both Pfizer and Moderna’s vaccines have now shown 94%+ effectiveness in treating Covid-19. Not to be outdone by Moderna’s report of 94.5% effectiveness, Pfizer has its final results and they … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 34 Comments

2020 Election: Prediction Markets versus Polling/Modeling Assessment and Postmortem

Moderation/Commenting: I tried to minimize it, but this post necessarily involves some politics. See note at end of post for comment norms. I hope for this to be the last post I make that has to say anything about the … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 18 Comments

Covid 11/12: The Winds of Winter

Spoiler Alert below the fold, can’t be helped. We have perhaps the best possible news. Pfizer’s vaccine is over 90% effective, and they are going to ask for emergency use authorization in a few weeks. Woo-hoo! We also have very … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 40 Comments

Covid 11/5: Don’t Mention the War

Mutation has always been an elephant in the Covid-19 room, and I haven’t paid as much attention to it as I should have. It is increasingly clear the Covid-19 has mutated, and the new strain is substantially more infectious than … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 29 Comments