Monthly Archives: August 2023

By all reports, and as one would expect, Google’s Gemini looks to be substantially superior to GPT-4. We now have more details on that, and also word that Google plans to deploy it in December, Manifold gives it 82% to … Continue reading →

Developments around relationships and dating have a relatively small speed premium, so I figured I would wait until I had a full post worth of them. Indeed I now present such a post, in which I present several theories as … Continue reading →

GPT-3.5 fine tuning is here. GPT-4 fine tuning is only a few months away. It is about to get a lot easier to get a powerful system that does what you want it to do, and knows what you want … Continue reading →

Inflection.ai is the latest AI lab whose CEO is advocating for regulation of AI. I discuss that under the Quest for Sane Regulation. Amazon and Apple are incrementally stepping up their AI game. Hotz and Yudkowsky debate whether AI is … Continue reading →

George Hotz and Eliezer Yudkowsky debated on YouTube for 90 minutes, with some small assists from moderator Dwarkesh Patel. It seemed worthwhile to post my notes on this on their own. I thought this went quite well for the first … Continue reading →

In addition to all the written developments, this was a banner week for podcasts. I would highlight four to consider listening to. Capabilities continue to advance at a more modest pace, so I continue to have room to breathe, which … Continue reading →

What a month. So much to cover. What this post does not cover beyond this introduction is the biggest news story of the month, a potential room temperature superconductor. If this discovery is real, it could be transformative. Think of … Continue reading →

After several jam-packed weeks, things slowed down to allow everyone to focus on the potential room temperature superconductor, check Polymarket to see how likely it is we are so back and bet real money, or Manifold for chats and better … Continue reading →

SPOILER WARNING: This post, after a brief spoiler-free review section, will contain full spoilers for Oppenheimer, Barbie and Mission: Impossible: Dead Reckoning Part One, and some for Across the Spiderverse. Movies are so back. While they are having their Barbieheimer … Continue reading →