Monthly Archives: December 2020

Covid 12/31: Meet the New Year

Same as the old year.  It’s deja vu all over again. It’s not good. We’re focused on political fights over priority and concerns someone might jump the line, and took off for Christmas. Doctors get forty-six dollars for administering two … Continue reading

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Covid 12/24: We’re F***ed, It’s Over

A year ago, there were reports coming out of China about a new coronavirus. Various people were saying things about exponential growth and the inevitability of a new pandemic, and urging action be taken. The media told us it was … Continue reading

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On Robin Hanson’s “Social Proof, but of What?”

Response Post to (Overcoming Bias): Social Proof, But of What? Epistemic Status: It seemed worth writing a long post but not a short one, so I saved time and wrote a long one. Feel free to skip this if it … Continue reading

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Covid 12/17: The First Dose

The Pfizer vaccine is being deployed to health care workers and long-term care facility residents. The Moderna vaccine is close behind, with the full FDA report already out. There were some small extra delays thrown in for good measure, on … Continue reading

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Motive Ambiguity

Central theme in: Immoral Mazes Sequence, but this generalizes. When looking to succeed, pain is not the unit of effort, and money is a, if not the, unit of caring.  One is not always looking to succeed.

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Covid 12/10: Vaccine Approval Day in America

Today, the FDA is meeting to discuss Pfizer’s Covid-19 vaccine. By the time many of you read this, they will have hopefully given the vaccine, and perhaps Moderna’s as well, emergency use authorization. If that happens, distributions to the states … Continue reading

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Covid 12/3: Land of Confusion

Last week I warned that we would have unusually high uncertainty for a while thanks to the Thanksgiving holiday. This was both due to unknown events and difficulties in measurement. Reporting and testing would both be delayed by the holiday, … Continue reading

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