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Monthly Archives: January 2024
Childhood and Education Roundup #4
Before we begin, I will note that I have indeed written various thoughts about the three college presidents that appeared before Congress and the resulting controversies, including the disputes regarding plagiarism. However I have excluded them from this post.
AI #48: The Talk of Davos
While I was in San Francisco, the big head honchos headed for Davos, where AI was the talk of the town. As well it should be, given what will be coming soon. It did not seem like anyone involved much … Continue reading
Monthly Roundup #14: January 2024
There’s always lots of stuff going on. The backlog of other roundups keeps growing rather than shrinking. I have also decided to hold back a few things to turn them into their own posts instead.
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AI #47: Exponentials in Geometry
The biggest event of the week was the Sleeper Agents paper from Anthropic. I expect that to inform our thoughts for a while to come, and to lay foundation for additional work. We also had the first third of the … Continue reading
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Tagged ai, artificial-intelligence, chatgpt, llm, Machine Learning
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On Anthropic’s Sleeper Agents Paper
The recent paper from Anthropic is getting unusually high praise, much of it I think deserved. The title is: Sleeper Agents: Training Deceptive LLMs that Persist Through Safety Training. Scott Alexander also covers this, offering an excellent high level explanation, … Continue reading
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Tagged ai, artificial-intelligence, llm, Machine Learning, social-media
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Medical Roundup #1
Saving up medical and health related stories from several months allowed for much better organizing of them, so I am happy I split these off. I will still post anything more urgent on a faster basis. There’s lots of things … Continue reading
AI #46: Meet the New Year
[NOTE: I forgot to post this to WP/LW/RSS on Thursday, so posting it now. Sorry about that.] Will be very different from the old year by the time we are done. This year, it seems like various continuations of the … Continue reading
2024 ACX Predictions: Blind/Buy/Sell/Hold
My 2023 ACX predictions showed a clear lack of confidence in taking on the market. I won 30 markets for an average of +185 each, and lost 12 for an average loss of -185 each1. When one goes 30-12, hitting … Continue reading
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2023 Prediction Evaluations
It is that time of the year. One must ask not only whether predictions were right or wrong, whether one won or lost, but what one was and should have been thinking, whether or not good decisions were made, whether … Continue reading
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AI Impacts Survey: December 2023 Edition
Katja Grace and AI impacts survey thousands of researchers on a variety of questions, following up on a similar 2022 survey as well as one in 2016. I encourage opening the original to get better readability of graphs and for … Continue reading
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Don't Worry About the Vase 