Category Archives: Coronavirus

Covid-19: Comorbidity

We’ve all seen statistics that most people who die of Covid-19 have at least one comorbidity. They also almost all have the particular comorbidity of age. The biggest risk, by far, is being old. The question that I don’t see being properly asked anywhere … Continue reading

Posted in Coronavirus, Reference | 19 Comments

Covid-19 5/7: Fighting Limbo

Last week: Covid-19 4/30: Stuck in Limbo Recently: Covid-19: New York’s Antibody Tests 2, On “COVID-19 Superspreader Events in 28 Countries: Critical Patterns and Lessons” Background Assumptions: On R0, Taking Initial Viral Load Seriously, On New York’s Antibody Tests, My Covid-19 Thinking: 4/23 pre-Cuomo Data Spreadsheet where … Continue reading

Posted in Coronavirus | 11 Comments

Covid-19: New York’s Antibody Tests 2

Previously: On New York’s Antibody Tests New York continues to be the only place even trying to do antibody tests in a way that involves releasing information on the population. What do we now know? How should we update? What comes next? As … Continue reading

Posted in Coronavirus | 6 Comments

Covid-19 4/30: Stuck in Limbo

Epistemic Status: As with all my Covid-19 posts I’m not any kind of expert and am doubtless making a lot of mistakes. Yet it seems worthwhile to persist. In previous posts I’ve been focused my direct modeling on New York. … Continue reading

Posted in Coronavirus | 11 Comments

On “COVID-19 Superspreader Events in 28 Countries: Critical Patterns and Lessons”

Analysis of / response to: COVID-19 Superspreader Events in 28 Countries: Critical Patterns and Lessons The article above, pointed out to me by many good sources, does one of the things we should be doing orders of magnitude more of … Continue reading

Posted in Coronavirus | 7 Comments

On New York’s Antibody Tests

Previously: My Covid-19 Thinking: 4/23 pre-Cuomo Data which has links to other previous stuff at the top. We’re all working from the same information, mostly from Cuomo’s slides. Let’s reproduce them here, give the rest of the information, then go from … Continue reading

Posted in Coronavirus | 6 Comments

My Covid-19 Thinking: 4/23 pre-Cuomo Data

Previous week: My Covid-19 Thinking: 4/17 Other previous foundational Covid-19 thoughts here: On R0, Taking Initial Viral Load Seriously, Seemingly Popular Covid-19 Model is Obvious Nonsense Spreadsheet I’m using to look at data is here, if you’d like to look. Epistemic Status: Usual warning … Continue reading

Posted in Coronavirus | 15 Comments

My Covid-19 Thinking: 4/17

Epistemic Status: Even farther out of my supposed expertise than previous Covid-19 posts. A little over a week ago I started writing up my general thinking about Covid-19. I then ended up pulling out from that post first The One Mistake … Continue reading

Posted in Coronavirus | 10 Comments

Seemingly Popular Covid-19 Model is Obvious Nonsense

Previous Covid-19 thoughts: On R0, Taking Initial Viral Load Seriously Epistemic Status: Something Is Wrong On The Internet. Which should almost always be ignored even when you are an expert, and I am nothing of the kind. However, this was a necessary … Continue reading

Posted in Coronavirus, Death by Metrics | 17 Comments

On R0

Epistemic Status: As with all of my Coronavirus posts, I am not any kind of expert. I am a person thinking out loud, who will doubtless make many mistakes. Treat accordingly. However, the concrete policy proposal contained herein seems right … Continue reading

Posted in Coronavirus | 23 Comments